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GSK delivers strong 2024 performance with further improvement to long-term growth outlook

Emma Walmsley

Full results announcement (PDF)

FY 2024 results announcement (PDF, 853.9KB)

Strong sales and Core EPS growth reflecting accelerating momentum in Specialty Medicines offsetting lower Vaccine sales

  • Total 2024 sales £31.4 billion +3% AER; +7% CER
  • Specialty Medicines sales +19%. HIV sales +13%. Oncology +98%. Respiratory/Immunology and Other +13%
  • Vaccines sales -4%. Shingrix +1% and Arexvy -51%
  • General Medicines sales +6%. Trelegy +27%
  • Total operating profit -33% and Total EPS -40% largely driven by £1.8 billion ($2.3 billion) charge relating to settlement of Zantac litigation
  • Core operating profit +11% (with further positive impact of +2% ex COVID) and Core EPS +10% (with further positive impact of +2% ex COVID) reflecting strong Specialty Medicines performance and disciplined increased investment in progressing the R&D portfolio
  • Cash generated from operations in the year of £8 billion with Free cash flow of £3 billion
  2024 Q4 2024
  £m % AER % CER £m % AER % CER
Turnover 31,376 3 7 8,117 1 4
Turnover ex COVID 31,364 4 8 8,106 1 4
Total operating profit 4,021 (40) (33) 696 21 54
Total operating margin % 12.8% (9.4ppts) (8.3ppts) 8.6% 1.5ppts 3.4ppts
Total EPS 63.2p (48) (40) 10.1p 18 60
Core operating profit 9,148 4 11 1,431 (18) (10)
Core operating margin % 29.2% 0.2ppts 0.9ppts 17.6% (4.1ppts) (2.9ppts)
Core EPS 159.3p 3 10 23.2p (20) (10)
Cash generated from operations 7,861 (3)   2,586 (30)  

Further progress in R&D with growth prospects strengthened in all key therapeutic areas:

  • 71 Specialty Medicines and Vaccines now in clinical development, including 19 in phase III/registration
  • Excellent pipeline progress in 2024 with 13 positive phase III readouts across Respiratory, Immunology & Inflammation; Oncology; HIV and Infectious Diseases
  • Continued targeted business development to support future growth: proposed acquisition of IDRx, Inc. (GI cancers); acquisition of Aiolos Bio (asthma) and new research alliance with Flagship Pioneering (Respiratory, Immunology & Inflammation), plus strengthened platform capabilities through acquisition of Elsie Biotechnologies (oligonucleotides)
  • 5 major new product approvals expected in 2025 including: Blenrep (multiple myeloma) and depemokimab (severe asthma and CRSwNP(1)); plus phase III readouts: camlipixant (refractory chronic cough) and tebipenem (complicated UTI); and important pipeline catalysts: Respiratory (depemokimab COPD); Oncology (B7-H3 & B7-H4 ADCs); HIV (ULA Q4/Q6M)

Increased returns to shareholders

  • Q4 2024 dividend of 16p declared; 61p FY 2024; 64p expected for 2025
  • £2 billion share buyback programme to be implemented over the next 18 months

2025 guidance and further improvement to long-term outlooks

  • Expect 2025 turnover growth of between 3% to 5%; Core operating profit growth of between 6% to 8%; Core EPS growth of between 6% to 8%, including the expected benefit from the share buyback programme
  • 2031 sales outlook increased to more than £40 billion (previously >£38 billion), reflecting late-stage pipeline progress

 

FY 2024 results infographic

Emma Walmsley, Chief Executive Officer, GSK:

“GSK delivered another year of excellent performance in 2024, with strong sales and core profit growth driven by accelerating momentum of our specialty medicines portfolio. This, together with outstanding phase III pipeline progress, means we expect another year of profitable growth in 2025, and have further improved our long-term outlook, with sales of more than £40 billion now expected by 2031. In particular, we are increasing and prioritising R&D investment to promising new long-acting and specialty medicines in Respiratory, Immunology & Inflammation, Oncology and HIV. Our outperformance and stronger balance sheet support these investments and others planned in R&D, as well as the opportunity to enhance shareholder returns through our progressive dividend and the share buyback programme which we have set out today.”

 

Assumptions and cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements

The Group’s management believes that the assumptions outlined above are reasonable, and that the guidance, outlooks, and expectations described in this report are achievable based on those assumptions. However, given the forward-looking nature of these guidance, outlooks, and expectations, they are subject to greater uncertainty, including potential material impacts if the above assumptions are not realised, and other material impacts related to foreign exchange fluctuations, macro-economic activity, the impact of outbreaks, epidemics or pandemics, changes in legislation, regulation, government actions or intellectual property protection, product development and approvals, actions by our competitors, and other risks inherent to the industries in which we operate.

This document contains statements that are, or may be deemed to be, “forward-looking statements”. Forward-looking statements give the Group’s current expectations or forecasts of future events. An investor can identify these statements by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. They use words such as ‘anticipate’, ‘estimate’, ‘expect’, ‘intend’, ‘will’, ‘project’, ‘plan’, ‘believe’, ‘target’ and other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with any discussion of future operating or financial performance. In particular, these include statements relating to future actions, prospective products or product approvals, future performance or results of current and anticipated products, sales efforts, expenses, the outcome of contingencies such as legal proceedings, dividend payments and financial results. Other than in accordance with its legal or regulatory obligations (including under the Market Abuse Regulation, the UK Listing Rules and the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the Financial Conduct Authority), the Group undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The reader should, however, consult any additional disclosures that the Group may make in any documents which it publishes and/or files with the SEC. All readers, wherever located, should take note of these disclosures. Accordingly, no assurance can be given that any particular expectation will be met and investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements.

All guidance, outlooks and expectations should be read together with the guidance and outlooks, assumptions and cautionary statements in this Q4 2024 earnings release and in the Group's 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F.

Forward-looking statements are subject to assumptions, inherent risks and uncertainties, many of which relate to factors that are beyond the Group’s control or precise estimate. The Group cautions investors that a number of important factors, including those in this document, could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include, but are not limited to, those discussed under Item 3.D ‘Risk Factors’ in the Group’s Annual Report on Form 20-F for 2023. Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of the Group speak only as of the date they are made and are based upon the knowledge and information available to the Directors on the date of this report.